As vulnerabilidades ocultas por trás da sustentabilidade financeira: um estudo de caso de uma fazenda de cana-de-açúcar na cidade de Pemalang, Java Central, Indonésia

Autores

  • Lutfi Zulkifli Master’s Degree in Agribusiness Management, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1303-9644
  • Ike Sitoresmi Mulyo Purbowati Phd Degree in Food Technology, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6984-1789
  • Adi Indrayanto PhD Degree in Management, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia
  • Gunawan Wijonarko PhD Degree in Management, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia
  • Ali Maksum Master’s Degree in Food Technology, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1744-8621
  • Hana Hanifa Master’s Degree in Soil Science, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3610-7646
  • Risq Naila Khusna Syarifah Master’s Degree in Agronomy, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia
  • Dian Novitasari Jenderal Soedirman University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18472/SustDeb.v14n3.2023.50914

Palavras-chave:

Vulnerabilidade, Mudanças Climáticas , Financeiro , Estudo de Viabilidade, Cana-de-açúcar, Negócios Agrícolas

Resumo

O objetivo deste estudo é avaliar a viabilidade financeira de uma empresa agrícola de cana-de-açúcar de quatro hectares operada pela Perhutani, uma empresa estatal da Indonésia. A fazenda está situada nos limites geográficos da cidade de Pemalang, localizada na província de Java Central, na Indonésia. O estudo emprega uma abordagem de análise de viabilidade financeira que envolve o cálculo dos principais indicadores financeiros, como Valor Presente Líquido (VPL), Taxa Interna de Retorno (TIR), Período de Retorno (PBP), Relação Custo-Benefício (BCR) e a aplicação de análise de sensibilidade. No geral, a avaliação da viabilidade de um empreendimento agrícola de cana-de-açúcar de quatro hectares indicou que é financeiramente viável e tem potencial para funcionar como um negócio sustentável. Essa conclusão é tirada dos valores numéricos positivos obtidos por meio de diversas técnicas de análise financeira. No entanto, é evidente, a partir da análise de sensibilidade realizada, que o cultivo da cana-de-açúcar é um negócio altamente suscetível a flutuações nas condições prevalecentes. Quando a produção de melaço sofreu reduções de 10% e 15%, a maioria das estimativas de análises de viabilidade financeira produziu valores negativos. A questão da vulnerabilidade da produção, que vai além da viabilidade econômica, tornou-se imperceptível por uma série de razões, incluindo as alterações climáticas.

Downloads

Não há dados estatísticos.

Biografia do Autor

Lutfi Zulkifli, Master’s Degree in Agribusiness Management, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia

Master’s Degree in Agribusiness Management, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia

Ike Sitoresmi Mulyo Purbowati, Phd Degree in Food Technology, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia

Phd Degree in Food Technology, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia

Adi Indrayanto, PhD Degree in Management, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia

PhD Degree in Management, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia

Gunawan Wijonarko, PhD Degree in Management, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia

PhD Degree in Management, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia

Ali Maksum, Master’s Degree in Food Technology, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia

Master’s Degree in Food Technology, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia

Hana Hanifa, Master’s Degree in Soil Science, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia

Master’s Degree in Soil Science, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia

Risq Naila Khusna Syarifah, Master’s Degree in Agronomy, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia

Master’s Degree in Agronomy, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia

Dian Novitasari, Jenderal Soedirman University

Master’s Degree in Agricultural Technology, Lecturer, Jenderal Soedirman University, Purwokerto, Central Java, Indonesia

Referências

ADGER, W. N. Vulnerability. Global Environmental Change, v. 16, n. 3, p. 268–281, 2006. Available at: https:// www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378006000422.

AKINYI, D. P.; NG'ANG'A, S. K.; GIRVETZ, E. H. Trade-offs and synergies of climate change adaptation strategies among smallholder farmers in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review. Regional Sustainability, v. 2, n. 2, p. 130– 143, 2021. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.regsus.2021.05.002.

ANTWI-AGYEI, P.; STRINGER, L. C. Improving the effectiveness of agricultural extension services in supporting farmers to adapt to climate change: insights from northeastern Ghana. Climate Risk Management, v. 32, n. May 2020, p. 100304, 2021. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2021.100304.

ARAGÓN, F. M.; RESTUCCIA, D.; RUD, J. P. Are small farms really more productive than large farms? Food Policy, v. 106, 1 Jan 2022.

ARAYA, B.; ASAFU-ADJAYE, J. Returns to Farm-Level Soil Conservation on Tropical Steep Slopes: the case of the Eritrean Highlands. Journal of Agricultural Economics, v. 50, n. 3, p. 589–605, 1 Set 1999. Available at: https:// doi.org/10.1111/j.1477-9552.1999.tb00900.x.

BAEZ-GONZALEZ, A. D. et al. Potential impact of future climate change on sugarcane under dryland conditions in Mexico. Journal of Agronomy and Crop Science, v. 204, n. 5, p. 515–528, 1 Out 2018. Available at: https://doi. org/10.1111/jac.12278.

BERNAL, N. et al. Impact of heat waves on cardiovascular and respiratory morbidity and mortality in municipali- ties of Northeast Brazil. Sustainability in Debate, v. 13, n. 2, SE-Articles-Varia, p. 96–122, 30 Ago 2022. Available at: https://periodicos.unb.br/index.php/sust/article/view/42228.

CHRISTINA, M. et al. Impact of climate variability and extreme rainfall events on sugarcane yield gap in a tropical Island. Field Crops Research, v. 274, p. 108326, 2021. Available at: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti- cle/pii/S0378429021002720.

CONCEIÇÃO, M. C. G. et al. International climate change negotiation: the role of Brazil. Sustainability in Debate, v. 10, n. 3, SE-Articles-Varia, p. 379–395, 31 Dez 2019. Available at: https://periodicos.unb.br/index.php/sust/ article/view/27962.

DIATIN, I. et al. Production performance and financial feasibility analysis of farming catfish (Clarias gariepinus) utilising water exchange system, aquaponic, and biofloc technology. Journal of the Saudi Society of Agricultural Sciences, v. 20, n. 5, p. 344–351, 1 Jul 2021.

DUNGUMARO, E. W.; HYDEN, G. Challenges and Opportunities to Climate Change Adaptation and Sustainable Development Among Tanzanian Rural Communities. Sustainability in Debate, v. 1, n. 2, SE-Dossier, p. 77, 22 Dez 2010. Available at: https://periodicos.unb.br/index.php/sust/article/view/15274.

ETONGO, D. et al. Risk perceptions, vulnerability and adaptation to climate change at farm level across four agricultural zones in Seychelles. World Development Sustainability, v. 1, n. July, p. 100025, 2022. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wds.2022.100025.

FLACK-PRAIN, S. et al. The impact of climate change and climate extremes on sugarcane production. GCB Bioen- ergy, v. 13, n. 3, p. 408–424, 1 Mar 2021. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1111/gcbb.12797.

GAMBELLI, D.; SOLFANELLI, F.; ZANOLI, R. Feasibility of risk-based inspections in organic farming: results from a probabilistic model. Agricultural Economics, v. 45, n. 3, p. 267–277, 1 Mai 2014. Available at: https://doi. org/10.1111/agec.12063.

GAUTAM, M.; AHMED, M. Too small to be beautiful? The farm size and productivity relationship in Bangla- desh. Food Policy, v. 84, p. 165–175, 2019. Available at: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/ S0306919218302434.

INDONESIA CENTRAL BUREAU OF STATISTICS. Indonesia Agriculture Survey. Jakarta: [s.n.], 2021.

INDONESIAN CENTRAL BANK. BI 7-Day Reverse Repo Rate in 5,75. Jakarta: [s.n.], 21 Set 2023.

KHAN, M. A. et al. Sensitivity Analysis for the Determinants of Investment Appraisal. Audit. Financiar., 1 Jan 2017.

KHANNA, M.; ISIK, M.; WINTER-NELSON, A. Investment in site-specific crop management under uncertainty: im- plications for nitrogen pollution control and environmental policy. Agricultural Economics, v. 24, n. 1, p. 9–12, 1 Dez 2000. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1574-0862.2000.tb00089.x.

KUMAR, G. et al. Economics of U.S. catfish farming practices: profitability, economies of size, and liquidity. Journal of the World Aquaculture Society, v. 51, n. 4, p. 829–846, 1 Ago 2020. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1111/jwas.12717.

LEBEL, P. et al. Perceptions of climate-related risks and awareness of climate change of fish cage farmers in northern Thailand. Risk Management, v. 17, n. 1, p. 1–22, 2015. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1057/rm.2015.4.

LINNENLUECKE, M. K.; NUCIFORA, N.; THOMPSON, N. Implications of climate change for the sugarcane industry. WIREs Climate Change, v. 9, n. 1, p. e498, 1 Jan 2018. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.498.

LIVERPOOL-TASIE, L. S. O. Is fertiliser use inconsistent with expected profit maximisation in sub-Saharan Africa? "Evidence from Nigeria". Journal of Agricultural Economics, v. 68, n. 1, p. 22–44, 1 Fev 2017. Available at: https:// doi.org/10.1111/1477-9552.12162.

MACHADO, P. G. et al. Assessment of the Expansion of Sugar Cane: application of the sustainability barometer in the municipalities of Barretos and Jaboticabal, São Paulo State, Brazil. Sustainability in Debate, v. 5, n. 1, SE-, p. 16–28, 30 Abr 2014. Available at: https://periodicos.unb.br/index.php/sust/article/view/15586.

MENDES, P. D. A. G. et al. Public policies and adaptation to climate change: three case studies in the Brazilian Semi-Arid region. Sustainability in Debate, v. 13, n. 3, SE-Articles-Varia, p. 209–245, 29 Dez 2022. Available at: https://periodicos.unb.br/index.php/sust/article/view/46064.

MOSHKIN, E. et al. Assessment of willingness-to-pay for bio-based fertilisers among farmers and agricultural advisors in the EU. Journal of Cleaner Production, v. 414, p. 137548, 15 Ago 2023. Accessed on: 16 jun. 2023.

PETER, J. Risk Analysis in Corporate Financial Modelling. Economy and Finance, v. 7, n. 1, Mar 2020.

ROY, P. et al. Climate change and groundwater overdraft impacts on agricultural drought in India: vulnerability assessment, food security measures and policy recommendation. Science of The Total Environment, v. 849, p. 157850, 2022. Available at: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S004896972204949X.

SANTOS, D. J. dos et al. Future rainfall and temperature changes in Brazil under global warming levels of 1.5oC, 2oC and 4oC. Sustainability in Debate, v. 11, n. 3, SE-Dossier, p. 57–90, 31 Dez 2020. Available at: https://period- icos.unb.br/index.php/sust/article/view/33933.

SAUNDERS. Simple Sensitivity Analysis by Financial Modelling. International Journal of the IMA, v. 2, n. 1, Jan 1983.

VASQUEZ-ARROYO, E. et al. Climate impacts in the Brazilian energy security: analysis of observed events and adaptation options. Sustainability in Debate, v. 11, n. 3, SE-Dossier, p. 157–196, 4 Jan 2021. Available at: https:// periodicos.unb.br/index.php/sust/article/view/33838.

ZHAO, D.; LI, Y.-R. Climate Change and Sugarcane Production: potential impact and mitigation strategies. Interna- tional Journal of Agronomy, v. 2015, p. 547386, 2015. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1155/2015/547386.

Publicado

2023-12-10

Como Citar

Zulkifli, L., Purbowati, I. S. M., Indrayanto, A., Wijonarko, G., Maksum, A., Hanifa, H., … Novitasari, D. (2023). As vulnerabilidades ocultas por trás da sustentabilidade financeira: um estudo de caso de uma fazenda de cana-de-açúcar na cidade de Pemalang, Java Central, Indonésia. Sustainability in Debate, 14(3), 207–218. https://doi.org/10.18472/SustDeb.v14n3.2023.50914

Artigos mais lidos pelo mesmo(s) autor(es)

Artigos Semelhantes

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 > >> 

Você também pode iniciar uma pesquisa avançada por similaridade para este artigo.